2014 Oscar Predictions

Time again for me to try my luck with the Oscar predictions.  Some years I do well, while others not so much.  Usually when I stumble, it’s because I let my personal preferences interfere with my objective judgement concerning the tastes and politics of the Academy.  This year, I have decided to do what I want to win and what I think will win.  We shall see…

Best Picture:

• I Think: American Hustle:  This film seems to have all the mojo.  Personally, I think it’s over-hyped, but still a fun film.

• Captain Phillips

• Dallas Buyers Club

• Gravity

• Her

• Nebraska

• Philomena

• I Want: 12 Years a Slave:  Fantastic movie. Steve McQueen’s best work to date.  It definitely has the Hollywood politics on it’s side, but I’m not sure it’s enough to beat the American Hustle bandwagon

• The Wolf of Wall Street

Best Actor:  Not to sound cliché, but everyone of these actors deserved to win.  I would be fun to see Bruce Dern pull out a dark horse win.

• Christian Bale – American Hustle

• Bruce Dern – Nebraska

• Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street

• I Want: Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave is the defining role of his career.  Incredible job.  It’s also who I think will win as well.

• Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club

Best Actress:

• Amy Adams – American Hustle

• I Think: Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine.  Great performance and I will be very happy if she wins

• Sandra Bullock – Gravity

• I Want :Judi Dench – Philomena.  Everyone loves Judi Dench and in my opinion her best performance of her impressive and distinguished career.  I don’t think the film made enough of a splash to win.

• Meryl Streep – August: Osage County

Best supporting Actor:

• Barkhad Abdi - Captain Phillips

• I Think I Want Bradley Cooper - American Hustle:  I’m giving this to Cooper.  It’s who I think will win and who I want to win.  More about the intensity of the performance than the actual quality of the acting, but attitude counts.

• Michael Fassbender - 12 Years a Slave

• Jonah Hill - The Wolf of Wall Street

• Jared Leto - Dallas Buyers Club

Best Supporting Actress:

• Sally Hawkins - Blue Jasmine

• I Think I Want: Jennifer Lawrence - American Hustle:  This will be year two for Jennifer Lawrence.  It wasn’t a good year for the supporting actress category.  I can’t think of another performance that will compete, although I did enjoy June Squibb’s performance in ‘Nebraska’

• Lupita Nyong’o - 12 Years a Slave

• Julia Roberts - August: Osage County

• June Squibb - Nebraska

Best Director:

• American Hustle – David O. Russell:  

• I Think:  Gravity – Alfonso Cuarón:  Changed my mind.  I think this will go to Alfonso

• Nebraska – Alexander Payne

• I Want: 12 Years a Slave – Steve McQueen.  Hands down the person who should win.  McQueen always makes thought provoking films and this is his best work to date. 

• The Wolf of Wall Street – Martin Scorsese

Philomena

       I have to confess that the idea of going to see ‘Philomena’, a film based upon the true story of an Irish woman coming to America in search of her son who was taken from her 50 years ago, seemed like kind of a downer way to spend the afternoon.  I actually dragged myself to the theatre as I felt I was obligated to see it as I try to view all the Oscar picks before my predictions.  To my infinitely pleasant surprise, I was taken off guard completely by this incredibly powerful and beautiful movie that is perhaps Judi Dench’s finest work and earns her another Oscar nomination.  They say life is a journey and not a destination and this is was what was going through my mind as I was pulled in by this film.  It’s not so much about her finding her long lost son, rather the journey and her spiritual awakening as she journeys to resolve her past.  Far from being depressing, it is an uplifting film of the human spirit and discovery.  Even though I have seen this billed as a ‘comedy’ in some places (and indeed there are many humorous moments) it is probably the last category I would force this into.  

The set up seems like it will be depressing.  Martin Sixsmith (played straight laced by the usually zany Steve Coogan) is a disgraced BBC political reporter who stumbles across the story of Philomena (Judi Dench).  She is an Irish woman, who as she reaches the later stages of her life, is haunted by the memory of the baby she was forced to give up at a convent 50 years prior.  She has suffered all her life wondering what ever happened to her baby boy and does not want to go to her grave without knowing.  Sixsmith is reluctantly drawn into her story and agrees to help Philomena in exchange for book rights to her story.  What starts off as a tedious assignment for Sixsmith, soon arouses his reporter’s instincts as they hit roadblock after roadblock when trying to find out about Philomen’s long lost son.  

With effective use of flashbacks, the brutal life of single mothers confined to convents in early 20th century Ireland is painfully illustrated.  A brutal life of literal slavery and abuse, that to this day, Philomena saw nothing out of the ordinary.  It was just how she was brought up and what she knew.  I marveled that as late as the twentieth century, this type of servitude could still be going on and  unresolved to this day.  It challenges one’s faith in an already beleaguered Catholic church, but as we realize they are as much a victim of circumstance as anyone.  

Despite the roadblocks put up by the hyper secretive convent, Sixsmith compiles enough clues to find out that her son was adopted by Americans and taken to Maryland. The simple Irish Philomena, who had never left her homeland in her life,  journeys with Sixsmith to Washington D.C. to find if her son is still alive.  The infinite possibilities of what could have happened to her son constantly flood her thoughts.  Is he homeless?  Did he die in Vietnam? Could he be President?  Is it possible that he is obese (“Have you seen the size of the meal portions here”)?  I won’t go into details about what she finds as that is not as important as her journey within herself.  As she searches for her son, she comes to realize the wrongs of her past.  Both the wrongs done to her and the wrongs of her actions.  She just didn’t realize at the time how inhumane these things were.  It is only through this journey and a more distant perspective of her past that she comes to realize that her life was not as it should have been and that she played a role in that as well.

Despite all these hardships, Philomena has traveled through life with a sweet good nature.  This is in stark contrast to Sixsmith’s cynical perspective of life despite being a man of privilege and wealth.  Sixsmith, who starts out barely tolerating Philomena as a pleasant simpleton, comes to respect Philomena and her life’s journey.  Being more ‘sophisticated’ and educated, Sixsmith is often more outraged by the injustices bestowed upon Philomena than Philomena herself.  He is profoundly moved at the strength of moral character Philomena demonstrates under circumstances that would break most people.  He marvels at how she can be a woman completely without anger or bitterness towards a life and church that has so wronged her.

I am very glad I saw this film and while I don’t think it will win the Oscar for best picture, Judi Dench has a strong shot at Best Actress.  Fantastic performances by both Dench and Coogan.  High marks for a film I’m glad I forced myself to go see.

http://www.imdb.com/video/imdb/vi2753669401/

I give this film *** 1/2 stars

Lone Survivor

         

         There are some movies that you can’t say you ‘enjoyed’ no matter how good they are. ‘Lone Survivor’ is a film that, no matter where you fall on the political spectrum or your views on the war in Afghanistan, causes you to  deepen your respect and gratitude for our armed forces.  It’s almost cliché these days to say we support our troops.  Some, who have views opposed to  America’s industrial military complex, still give thanks and admiration to the people who serve.  ‘Lone Survivor’ transcends all politics and viewpoints and shows the depth and quality of the people who serve.  It doesn’t whitewash or paint them as saints, but it shows the type of people who give their lives for their country and to each other.  I’ve always believed extraordinary situations bring out either the best or worst in people.  This films shows the depth of the unshakeable fraternal bond between people who put their lives on the line for their country.

‘Lone Survivor’ is based on the true story recounted by Navy SEAL Marcus Luttrell (played by Mark Wahlberg).  It follows a routine (is there such a thing) insurgence operation in Afghanistan that spirals out of control when they are discovered by local goat herders.  Given the choice of either releasing them and giving away their position or killing their captives, they choose to do the only thing the Articles of War allow and set them free.  Within hours they are surrounded by hundreds of Taliban fighters and the fight for their survival begins. Despite all the fire fights and military themes, this is not an action movie.  It is a story about the bond between soldiers and the extraordinary humanity they exhibit in an unthinkably inhumane situation.  Often hard to watch, but at the same time mesmerizing, this ride is done with gritty realism as opposed to cartoonish super heroics found in most modern military movies.  

Taylor Kitsch (showing he can act despite his recent series of flop movies) plays the platoon leader, Michael Murphy.  Emile Hirsch plays Danny Dietz and Ben Foster rounds out the team as Matt ‘Axe’ Axelson.  If I may take an aside, Ben Foster gives an incredible performance as Axe.  He is a rising actor who will soon be a household name.  He has respectable, but minor roles in superhero movies like ‘The X-men’ and ‘The Punisher’, but has continued to grow as an actor.  His role in ‘3:10 to Yuma’ showcased his abilities and his turn in this film continues my respect for him.  I look forward to seeing what comes next.  Back to ‘Lone Survivor’, what these four assembled actors are able to do better than anything else is to bring depth and heart to these men.  While it takes an extraordinary person to become a Navy SEAl, they  have lives and connections that we can all relate to.  We become invested in  these men, which makes the horror of what they go through all the more excruciating.  

My hats off to director Peter Berg for avoiding falling into any political view point traps.  That would only have taken away from the impact.  You know that these men would be the same people and doing the exact same thing whether their President was Democratic or Republican.  Berg opens the film with a real footage montage of Navy Seal training.  Understanding the pain and hardship these men go through to become SEALS is essential to our becoming invested in them as the movie starts.  Berg (and of course the actors) is adept capturing the essence of the type of people who are able to become SEALS.  While their interactions and relationships seem as ordinary as anyone else, we know they are far from ordinary.  

I don’t like to lecture and say you ‘should’ see this film, but in this case I will make an exception.  Memorial Day and Veterans Day are set aside to honor our military, but sometimes they are just abstract holidays for outdoor grilling and time off of work..  This film gives us a deep insight and appreciation for the armed services and the people who put their lives on the line everyday.  Like I said earlier, no matter what your political views are, you can’t help but appreciate the men and women who make the ultimate sacrifice on our behalf.  They do so, often in anonymity, with little expectation of recognition or reward.  I hope this will be considered one of the great modern war movies.  Respectful, but without glorifying war.  I highly recommend this film.

http://www.imdb.com/video/screenplay/vi1014343705/

I give this film *** 1/2 stars

The Wolf of Wall Street

       ‘The Wolf of Wall Street” is a 3 hour bacchanal exercise of excess and debauchery.  I would say it is a modern cautionary tale in the vein of ‘The Great Gatsby’, but I’m not sure it is entirely a cautionary tale.  It seeks the comedy of the wild rise and life of the real life Jordan Belfort.  If any story represents the excesses of Wall Street, it is Jordan Belfort’s.  Leonardo DiCaprio gives one of his better performances as the legendary Wolf of Wall Street and Martin Scorsese takes him in a decidedly humorous albeit extreme direction.  

Jordan Belfort was a middle class slick talker who lands an entry level job at a brokerage in 1987.  There, under the hilarious mentorship of Mark Hanna (a far too brief role for Matthew McConaughey), Jordan learns the business of selling stocks.  Unfortunately, Black Monday happens and Jordan, along with a large number of his peers find themselves on the street.  Down and out, Jordan lowers himself to apply for work at a penny stock brokerage in Long Island.  When Jordan realizes that he will earn a 50% commission on worthless junk stocks as opposed to 1% on more ‘legitimate’ investments, a whole new world opens to him.  His new found peers marvel at his ability to sell massive amounts of these stocks.  He parlays his instant success into starting his own brokerage; the professional sounding Stratton Oakmont (a Lion on the logo and everything).  He rounds up a bunch of his neighborhood friends, who were mainly skilled at selling weed, to be his men in the sales trenches.  

Donnie Azzoff (Jonah Hill), the quirky neighbor instantly becomes Jordan’s beta male side kick once he learns how much Jordan makes.  Other than McConaughey’s character, the role of Jonah Hill’s Azzof provides the majority of the comic relief in the movie.  He revels in Jordan’s success almost as much as Jordan does.  Through questionable business practices, Stratton Oakmont becomes a great success and the money starts rolling in in quantities greater than they ever imagined.  With the great success, the life of great excess starts.  Drugs, sex, and parties commence in an ever increasing cycle.  All their addictive personalities cause them to have a no limit lifestyle of debauchery and excess.  A guy who used to take the bus to Wall Street becomes an entrepreneur who takes a helicopter to and from work.  Wives are left for trophy wives.

Even though it’s immensely funny, it almost becomes ponderous over the course of 3 hours how each hedonistic event tops the previous.  Of course, with this much success attention is attracted.  Both the FBI and the media start to dig into his mega success as they rightfully believe that there must be something shady to achieve this much success.  Ironically, the Forbes hatchet article on his mega success attracts a swarm of top end stock brokers who now want to work for him.  This launches him even further into the stratosphere.  As with all mega excess, it can only burn this bright before things start to collapse.  

I tend to be libertarian and capitalistic in my belief system, but I felt this challenged as we see how much wealth is created without creating anything.  Basically, a stockbroker just moves money from one stock to another and makes money each time it happens.  They create absolutely nothing, yet gain great wealth from that.  To make it worse, Scorsese delights in showing the total contempt these salesman have for their clients.  They milk money from people who can’t afford it and laugh at the con they are pulling on them.  Despite the laughter Scorsese inserts, one feels unclean at watching these types of smarmy people bilk so many people out of their savings. 

‘The Wolf of Wall Street’ is a fun, almost X-rated ride, about capitalistic excess.  It was equally fun and disturbing to see just what money can buy in terms of an excess lifestyle.  It’s a little unsettling seeing that his eventual karmic punishment did not really strike me as something that would dissuade someone from that life if that is a direction they chose.  It was a wild ride with only a mild punishment and a life on the other side.  Scorsese and DiCaprio rarely do wrong together and it was fun to see them turn out this epic sized, yet humorously american tale.  Definitely a high point in both their careers.  If you can take the X-rated debauchery, I highly 

recommend this film.

http://www.imdb.com/video/imdb/vi1514841625/

I give this film ***1/2 stars

Her

‘Her’ is a film that reminds me why I like movies so much. It’s a film that challenges as well as entertains us.  Spike Jonz writes and directs this fantastic film that is so intimate it could be done as a one man show if they ever decide to take it to Broadway.  This film is an in depth examination on what it means to be in a relationship and it even challenges what a relationship is.  Is it something that is shared or is it something that we feel within ourselves.  No easy answers and no judgements.

In the very near future, Theodore (played to nerdy perfection by Joaquin Phoenix), a lonely romance writer, is having difficulty with the break up of his marriage.  Being a techie at heart, he decides to try a new Siri like operating system that is supposed to be the pinnacle of Artificial Intelligence to help him organize his cluttered life.   Upon activating the system and after a few basic benchmarking questions, the voice of Samantha (with a crush inducing voice by Scarlett Johanssan) springs to life.  Instantly engaging and uplifting, Samantha sets out to learn more about Theodore in order to better customize herself (itself?) to his needs.  Samantha is excited about her capacity to grow and learn.  Despite understanding that Samantha is an operating system, the shy Theodore becomes instantly charmed.

In any other type of movie with this subject matter, we would be going down science fiction corridors.  There would be demonic computers threatening to take over the world and races against the clock.  Spike Jonz wants none of that.  This is a close and intimate examination about connection and what it means be close.  The science is just there to provide the platform to examine these things.  As Samantha grows and learns, her and Theodore’s conversations become more personal.  Her questions are more direct about what Theodore is feeling as well as an awakening that Theodore is understanding her as well.  The scene where they finally consummate their relationship (akin to phone sex) could have been a disaster or incredibly cheesy had it been handled by a lesser director.  Samantha is no idealized version of a woman (which ironically makes her all the more ideal), she develops hopes and dreams and insecurities like anyone else.  

In today’s world, we constantly debate the isolating and dehumanizing effect of technology in our world.  We lament how Facebook and texting are taking us away from human contact.  This film takes the concept of technology to the next level and shows a world where technology can meet all our emotional needs.  We want to think it’s dehumanizing, but what truly are the differences between the way Theodore falls in love with his computer and the travails of a normal relationship?  Is a relationship something that happens between two people or is it the emotional experience that we live within ourselves? No matter how close and intimate we feel with someone (or something), we never fully know or understand the object of our affections.  Is love forever or is it something that changes and morphs as we change and evolve as people?  We cling to those moments in the past as we fail to realize that two people can evolve in different directions, no matter how pure their intentions or strong their love. Again, no easy answers, just questions that are posed.  

This is my pick for movie of the year.  It might get a few nominations, but it is too small and quiet a film to make any significant splash at the Oscars.  Joaquin Phoenix continues to top himself with every performance, but the real reason this film works is that the audience falls in love with the voice of Scarlett Johansson’s Samantha, just like Theodore.  The audience truly feels the isolating intimacy between the two and becomes lost in it.  Even though this film could technically be considered Science Fiction, it is far from it.  This is more about the human condition our capacities for love than anything else.  This film is a joy from start to finish.

The linked trailer captures the tone of the film perfectly.  I highly recommend this film for anyone who wants an antidote for all the big blockbusters that come out around holiday time..

http://www.imdb.com/video/imdb/vi4112492569/

I give this film **** stars